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Rising Electricity Costs and the Urgency for Businesses to Act Now

Australia’s energy landscape is undergoing a dramatic transformation. As the nation’s population grows and grid demand doubles over the next decade, coal-fired power plants, as the backbone of Australia’s reliable energy supply, are rapidly being phased out. With no new coal plants on the horizon and renewable energy infrastructure still maturing, businesses face a challenging future where electricity costs are likely to soar.

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The Looming Energy Gap

By 2033, Australia’s population is projected to increase from 27.5 million to 31.2 million, creating a higher baseline demand for electricity. Simultaneously, 42% of the current coal supply equivalent to 9,020 MW of capacity, will disappear as aging coal plants are decommissioned (population.gov.au).

Without replacements in the form of new coal plants, the grid will increasingly rely on renewables, which are inherently weather-dependent. Solar and wind farms, while promising, cannot provide consistent power during overcast or windless days. Large-scale battery storage, a potential solution, remains in its infancy. Additionally, the 2024 Integrated System Plan from AEMO highlights the urgent need for investments in reliable and scalable solutions to meet future demand and address supply challenges (AEMO ISP 2024).

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As more coal-fired power stations are decommissioned, including notable plants like Liddell and Eraring, the shift will further impact grid stability and costs (Wikipedia: List of coal-fired power stations in Australia). The closure of Eraring, in particular, has been delayed through an agreement between Origin Energy and the NSW Government, but this extension will still have implications for future energy prices (Origin Energy: Eraring closure delay).

In addition, as Australia’s population grows, energy demand is on a steep upward trajectory, as illustrated by the Australian Bureau of Statistics' population clock and pyramid, which tracks the nation’s expanding population and its potential impact on energy consumption (ABS Population Clock and Pyramid).

Wholesale Prices Under Pressure

This shrinking supply and growing demand create a perfect storm for electricity prices:

  • Supply Scarcity: As coal plants close, the grid loses a reliable and flexible energy source, driving up wholesale prices.

  • Renewables Integration Costs: Transitioning to renewable energy requires substantial investment in infrastructure and grid upgrades, costs that will inevitably be passed on to consumers.

  • Negotiation Leverage: Owners of coal plants nearing closure, such as Eraring, may extend operations but only under lucrative agreements with state governments, further adding to costs (abc.net.au).

What This Means for Businesses

Businesses are already grappling with volatile energy prices, and the next decade promises even greater challenges. Rising wholesale costs will trickle down to electricity bills, straining operating budgets. For SMEs in particular, unchecked energy expenses could erode profit margins or necessitate passing costs onto customers.

Why Acting Now is Crucial

The key to mitigating these challenges lies in preparation and proactive energy management:

  • Partnering with Energy Brokers: A professional broker can analyse your current energy contracts, identify inefficiencies, and negotiate better rates tailored to your business needs.

  • Exploring Renewable Options:Solar installations or other renewables can offset rising grid costs, especially with government incentives still available.

  • Demand Forecasting: With grid demand expected to double by 2033, understanding and planning your energy usage now can save significant costs in the future.

Take Control of Your Energy Future

The energy market is shifting, and businesses that act decisively will be better positioned to weather the changes ahead. At Choice Energy, we specialise in helping companies navigate these challenges, ensuring you’re not just reacting to higher electricity rates but proactively managing your energy strategy.

Contact us today to schedule a free consultation and take the first step toward securing your business’s energy future.


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